Alvarenga DPP Megatrends Scenarios
top 100 accelerator program
Wellness
Creativity work & methods
HBR Best Top Ten articles 2012
Previsões de especialistas e líderes mundiais sobre a economia em 2013
Alvarenga DPP Megatrends Scenarios
Near the end of 2012, a group of us at Ziba got together to review what we’d learned over the course of the year. Working with dozens of clients who serve customers around the world, we designers spend a lot of time observing people as they interact with technology, services, and experiences, noticing how they seek solutions to everyday problems and make decisions. In the process, certain patterns emerge so forcefully that they’re practically unavoidable.
Meeting over three sessions spread out over a week, 23 Zibites (designers, researchers, and creative directors) discussed the patterns we’d seen, and distilled them down to the 12 insights we thought were most current and useful, to us and to our clients. Each one is presented here, as a brief essay that suggests how it will affect business practices in 2013, and as an illustration created by one of Ziba’s designers.
Our understanding of how we decide has evolved dramatically over the past 20 years, and it paints a messy picture. Rather than logical conclusions based on clear needs and preferences, choices are often just the slim visible portion of a rowdy internal struggle, pitting conflicting ideas and beliefs against each other. Even our most certain conclusions turn out to be stories we create after the fact, convincing ourselves that we’ve preferred chocolate to vanilla all along.
Be OK with the chaos. The smartest organizations in 2013 will embrace this conflict, and acknowledge the complexity in their customers’ minds. This means services that let you be predictable one day and impulsive the next, and products that appeal to values that once seemed in tension: eco and luxury, traditional and playful, retro and hyper-modern.
The crucial element in any customer experience is still people, no matter how much technology has transformed the landscape. The sales associate, the courier, the flight attendant, or the service agent--in many ways these are your most important, best-informed people. The larger an organization, the more it relies on the thousand tiny decisions its frontline employees make on a daily basis. And listening to their collective wisdom is more important than ever.
Listen, learn and enable. Taking full advantage of that ground-level expertise means fostering better communication, and putting resources in the hands of those who face your customers. Technology in 2013 will focus on helping employees do more, more intelligently, and the wisest organizations will invest in this wholeheartedly.
Sales of LP records have quadrupled since 2007. It’s a powerful reminder that convenience isn’t the only thing people care about. Music, like video and telecommunications, reached a digital/analog split long ago, and digital won because it’s cheaper, faster, and more convenient. But analog persists, in part because of nostalgia but also because formats like film, print, and vinyl reflect the people and processes that made them, forming an emotional connection that digital can’t match.
Stop worrying about the contradictions. 2013 will not be the year that analog displaces digital, nor will any other year. But it will be the year when mainstream consumers start to embrace “outdated” technologies along with cutting-edge ones. A brand that can seamlessly straddle the divide makes far more sense to them.
Freemium pricing models and digital services are detaching the price of things from the cost of producing them. And while this gives companies more leeway in their business models, it raises a question: How do you determine a product’s intrinsic worth? Increasingly, it’s the idea behind the product and the philosophy of the brand that created it. If two competitors spend equal amounts on production, the one whose ideals resonate with the target market is the more valuable.
Your values are a competitive advantage. 2013 is when mainstream brands start asking serious questions about their philosophy and values. Knowing what you stand for and conveying that to the world is no longer an intellectual exercise for the touchy-feely fringes. It’s a necessity.
More than just a means of entertaining ourselves, narrative is how we understand the world and make decisions. Each of us is the leading character in the stories we tell ourselves, and we use these as a framework for organizing the messages we receive. Narrative is also how we remember: a story out of chronological order is nearly impossible to remember, but information that has a beginning, a middle, and an end becomes something we can own, embrace, and share.
Start thinking in stories. 2013 is when brands start actively listening to their customers’ stories, and figuring out how they can play a supporting role. It’s also the year they begin to tell their own, linking together their most important messages to form a coherent, memorable whole.
The typical early adopter cares about function and capability above all else. But what about the rest of us? As technology penetrates formerly closed markets around the world, the ability to fix and upgrade in the field is increasingly sought after. Even in tech-savvy urban centers, there’s a growing consumer subculture that sees hacking and repairing as an indicator of true ownership.
Show the tinkerers some love. The smartest technology companies in 2013 won’t make everything totally field serviceable, but they‘ll offer access to those who want it. Rather than just optimizing for speed, compactness or low-cost, they’ll offer products and services that invite users to actively maintain and modify, winning loyalty and love along the way.
The 8 track, the CD, the Pentium chip, FireWire--people used to invest in products just to get their hands on these new technologies. They were a real differentiator, and a kind of magic. But it’s become too much, too fast. The internet runs on an alphabet soup of languages and protocols, and only a slim population of early adopters counts pixels or processor speeds anymore. The rest of us just want to know what it’s like to use.
Talk about experiences, not features. Technology is there to enable an experience, and as long as it doesn’t get in the way, most consumers would rather not worry about it. The smartest brands in 2013 will follow suit, emphasizing the product or service, not the features that make it possible.
Imagine if your washing machine gave you dirty clothes one time in five, or your alarm didn’t work on Tuesdays. You’d be indignant. Yet today’s tech-heavy gadgets and services can be that unreliable. Customers can handle a few kinks in new technology, but we expect that basic functions will be worked out. And despite the proliferation of features, more of us are realizing that what we really want is a phone that makes good calls, every single time.
Fill in the gaps. A few smart brands will seize on the opportunity to highlight reliability and function in 2013, and make it just as exciting as a new feature. Customers who want respite from the noise of newness are many and hungry for an elegant return to flawless basics.
Making choices is exhausting--mentally, emotionally, and even physically. With the proliferation of online services and globalizing markets, our options have multiplied rapidly, and it’s wearing us out. More than anything else, this is why we form brand loyalties. Once we believe that our values and choices align, we’re happy to leave choices to the brand that’s earned our trust, and shift some of the burden off our own shoulders.
Be trustworthy enough to take the load off. The brands that earn loyalty in 2013 are those that have earned it. By showing you’re aligned, and communicating in familiar language, you establish a trust that lets customers relax. “Go ahead,” you say, “we’ve got you covered.” If they can believe you, they’ll love you for it.
There’s almost no transaction that can’t be automated today, from buying groceries to learning about health issues. And customers are starting to resist. With many technological obstacles out of the way, we have the luxury of being picky about automation. Sometimes we embrace it--when, say, we check our banking balance online--as a way of shifting mundane tasks off people’s shoulders. And sometimes, we long for a living, breathing person.
Look for places to act more human. The most successful brands understand when customers need to be listened to or expect the nuanced expertise that only a person can provide. 2013 reverses the trend toward automated everything, as humanity becomes the crucial differentiator between a beloved brand and a commodity.
.An entire generation of young people has access to something unprecedented in history: a complete ecosystem of services provided by people their own age. When a startup run by three recent college grads can take on a century-old multinational, it transforms markets. Sometimes this means an age group split, like AirBnB vs VRBO, or Etsy vs eBay. And sometimes it means a Gen Y company like Facebook can leverage its enthusiastic peer group, and then grow to rule the world.
Take younger competitors seriously, and learn from them. Gen Y is defined by optimism, social engagement, and digital fluency, and these are attributes that can attract older customers as well. The key is to act as an enabler, not a controller: Give them a flexible platform and they’ll not only give you their business, they’ll bring Mom and Dad along too.
Constant communication and social media are pushing us to show off our passion and specialized knowledge, as a way of standing out in the storm of mundane information that fills the air. Mom posts photos of Victorian furniture on Pinterest, while Dad’s Facebooking his latest cooking project, and your cousin tweets about nothing but Korean pop stars. We’ve always had these secret pools of expertise, but now they’ve got an outlet, and an appreciative audience.
You’re a specialist, too. Trying to be everything to everyone is a losing proposition. As customers embrace their connoisseurship, they seek out brands that match it. The success stories of 2013 are companies unafraid of putting a stake in the ground, to boldly indicate where their expertise and passion lie…and where they don’t.
****
A recurring theme that connects these insights is tension--not in a negative or uncomfortable way, but a useful one that acknowledges the diversity of the modern marketplace, and the natural contradictions within individuals and organizations. Brand philosophy and narrative are crucial to winning customer loyalty, but not at the expense of basic function. People want to develop expertise and take ownership of their technology, but they also crave the advice and attention of another human.Far from being at odds, these insights emphasize the complexity that we live in and the diversity of our needs, and brands ignore that fact at their peril. That, at least, is an insight that isn’t changing anytime soon.
Since Google launched its reality-augmenting Project Glass in June, it's been pretty much impossible find a picture of Google co-founder Sergei Brin in which he's not wearing the futuristic eye-piece. Last night's Vanity Fair Oscar party was no exception. Which means 150 of Hollywood's most famous and beautiful people, from Natalie Portman to JJ Abrams, ...
Already top presentation of the day on Slideshare and we didn’t even put the word out. In our most recent presentation ’10 Business Models that rocked 2010’ we looked at the previous year and chose our top picks of the year. Not every interesting revenue model was included. Some of course missed our selection. I personally didn’t choose penny auction concepts like Swoopo and others. People that joined one of our workshop sessions knew already that these concepts are quite fraudulous. Auction platforms like this aren’t very sustainable. Recent figures already showed that Swoopo is indeed in decline. Other emerging concepts like Quora aren’t on the list either. Although everybody is talking about this relative new content platform, they didn’t figure out what business model to roll out. Sounds very Twitterish, not? If I had to include 1 extra revenue model to this selection, I would go for Gilt.com, which has another interesting approach for selling ‘online deals’. Read more about their margins, cash conversion and so on here. We’ll come back to this case later on.
Watch the full presentation here. (full screen works best). If you like it, feel free to share, retweet or like it. And now you’re at it, did we forget an important business model? Send us your feedback below or via twitter (@nickdemey). thx
More revenue model examples and inspiration:
A agenda do crescimento passa pela internacionalização. Este imperativo levou a Deloitte e a AICEP a lançarem o estudo de caracterização global do processo de internacionalização.
video by GetGrasshopper
From Grasshopper, The Entrepreneur's Phone System - http://grasshopper.com Producer: Sonja Jacob Soundtrack: Chain Reaction by Carly Commando http://bit.ly/OAmOG
top 100 accelerator program
The top 100 accelerator programs in the WORLD and their locations – Infographic 11/17/2012, luke, This is a great infographic from the guys at Startup Weekend, illustrating the locations of the leading accelerator and incubator programs from around the world in 2012! Posted in Interviews. Tagged as infographic Next Post → Interview with Christian Nkurunziza, co-founder of Tenscores ← Previous Post Our Interview with Jennifer Reuting, Founder & CEO DocRun – coming soon!
Wellness
A ideia parece bizarra mas é um objectivo já bem definido em alguns países nórdicos, nomeadamente na Irlanda.
Aceitas o desafio de sermos igualmente ambiciosos em Portugal, já em 2013 e não ficarmos apenas nas reduções de custos de saúde, de apenas 10 ou 20% impostas pela Troika? Vamos então deixar de apontar o dedo apenas às farmacêuticas e aos fornecedores, nomeadamente às empresas tecnológicas, para reduzirem as suas vendas e margens e vamos, em vez disso, melhorar a sério o nosso sistema de saúde, reduzindo em 75% os seus custos?
É muito simples. Basta confiar nos estudos realizados no norte da Europa que provam que por cada euro investido em Wellness (bem estar), poupam-se 4 euros em Healthcare (cuidados de saúde)! Aqui vai um deles:
A Irlanda, por exemplo, (à semelhança de outros países nórdicos) está a desenvolver uma mudança de paradigma no sistema nacional de saúde para tentar reduzir custos até ¼ do seu valor actual.Em Portugal utilizando os pressupostos desse estudo, numa abordagem teórica, poderíamos reduzir, até 2020, em 74%, os 9.500 milhões de Euros de custos de healthcare, aumentando apenas 15%, todos os anos, o investimento em wellness, ficando no final com uma redução de 51% no custo total.
Claro que este é apenas um modelo teórico, para reflexão, que não entra em linha de conta com vários outros factores como, por exemplo, o aumento de custos provocado pelo envelhecimento da população ou outras variáveis da fórmula de cálculo. O valor inicial de 2012 apresentado no gráfico em Wellness é apenas uma estimativa.
O que é o Wellness?
É todo um conjunto de serviços que promovam a saúde física e mental e previnam a doença. Alimentação, ar puro, exercício físico, psicoterapias, SPA's, animação cultural, estética, meditação,... etc e todo o tipo de actividades de bem estar físico, mental, social, etc...O Estado: Com apoios financeiros a todo o tipo de iniciativas que promovam o bem estar (Wellness), nomeadamente com redução do valor da taxa da Segurança Social aos cidadãos e empresas, a quem evidenciar que cumpra planos de bem estar. Incentivos aos municípios para criarem e preservarem zonas saudáveis.
Seguradoras: Os seguros de Saúde terão compensações se o segurado comprovar que segue um plano de bem estar (Wellness).
Empresas: Actividades como ginástica na empresa, fruta na empresa, hora livre para caminhar ao ar livre, coaching, animação, ... estão cientificamente comprovadas que promovem o bem estar no trabalho, diminuem a taxa de abstinência ou baixa por doença e, consequentemente, aumentam a produtividade.
Cidadãos: Investirem em programas de bem estar (caminhadas, massagens, banhos termais, ginástica, tempo para conversar com amigos...) uma parte do dinheiro que gastam em medicamentos, consultas e exames médicos.
Quem acelera o desenvolvimento deste novo paradigma?
Obviamente, a crise financeira por um lado e, por outro, a profunda necessidade de bem estar do ser humano em geral. Este é o tipo de mudanças que não acontecem por decreto de algum governo iluminado mas apenas por uma mudança de consciência da população. Tu podes dar o teu contributo. É muito simples. Em vez de tentares mudar os teus amigos, a família, o governo, o país ou o mundo, basta mudares o teu comportamento, cultivando o teu próprio plano de bem estar.
Quais os obstáculos à potencial poupança de 75% nos custos de saúde?Médicos: É necessária uma mudança de atitude e da tipologia de serviços prestados pelos nossos médicos que, certamente, vai demorar algum tempo. Hoje, especialmente na medicina ocidental, ainda temos o conceito de que o melhor médico é aquele que não precisamos de visitar pois associamos essa visita a um episódio de combate à doença. Num sistema de saúde baseado em Wellness, o médico é aquele profissional que nós gostamos de visitar periodicamente para nos ajudar a manter sempre bem.
Laboratórios farmacêuticos: Demora tempo mudar o negócio centrado no “medicamento” para um novo negócio centrado no “suplemento” (alimentar). Algumas farmacêuticas estão já a posicionar-se nesse sentido como é, por exemplo, o caso da Bayer ao comprar recentemente a Schiff Nutrition.A população menos esclarecida: A crença de que é apenas o medicamento e a cirurgia que curam tudo, dificulta este processo. A ideia enraizada em muitos de nós de que "Um Sistema Nacional de Saúde" é apenas "Um Sistema Nacional de Combate à Doença", com muitos Hospitais e excelentes Serviços de Urgência, é também um obstáculo a este ousado plano de redução de custos.
E como é que os sistemas de informação podem apoiar e facilitar este futuro paradigma?Gestão integrada de serviços wellness via portal multi-utilizador.
Gestão integrada de serviços wellness, seguradoras e serviços healthcare.
Gestão integrada de serviços wellness, ESTADO e serviços públicos de saúde
Soluções de Gestão Estratégica da direcção nacional ou regional para controle de custos wellness vs healthcare
Apps nos smartphones para monitorização de programas de wellness e healthcaree... o que imaginação ditar...E a Dívida Externa?
Já agora convém referir também que estes novos produtos e serviços, podem ser quase todos de origem nacional, e assim contribuir para o nosso equilíbrio orçamental. Apesar de todas as poupanças, evoluções, mudanças e oscilações, as notícias actuais sobre a nossa dívida externa continuam a não ser muito animadoras: http://publico.pt/economia/noticia/divida-externa-portuguesa-aumenta-e-e-insustentavel-1571725 e isso dá-nos algum mal estar. Um plano wellness contribuirá, certamente, para melhorar as coisas.Votos de boa saúde e bem estar!
Creativity work & methods
by Maria Popova“Inspiration is for amateurs — the rest of us just show up and get to work.”
Questions of why creators create, how they structure their days, and where they look for inspiration hold a strange kind of mesmerism over us mere mortals, an elusive promise of somehow reverse-engineering and absorbing genius through voyeurism. In 2003, artist Joe Fig began interviewing famous painters about how, where, and why they do what they do. The result was Inside the Painter’s Studio (UK; public library) — an anthology of 24 conversations with some of today’s most revered contemporary artists. Among them was legendary photorealist Chuck Close, who despite his paralyzing 1988 spinal artery collapse remains one of the most prolific, disciplined, and sought-after artists working today.
In the interview, Close echoes Tchaikovsky and Jack White in the supremacy of work ethic over “inspiration”:
I was never one of those people who had to have a perfect situation to paint in. I can make art anywhere, anytime — it doesn’t matter. I mean, I know so many artists for whom having the perfect space is somehow essential. They spend years designing, building, outfitting the perfect space, and then when it is just about time to get to work they’ll sell that place and build another one. It seems more often than not a way to keep from having to work. But I could pain anywhere. I made big paintings in the tiniest bedrooms, garages, you name it. you know, once I have my back to the room, I could be anywhere.
When asked about the motto or creed by which he lives, Close puts it even more forcefully, negating the notion of creative block:
Inspiration is for amateurs — the rest of us just show up and get to work. And the belief that things will grow out of the activity itself and that you will — through work — bump into other possibilities and kick open other doors that you would never have dreamt of if you were just sitting around looking for a great ‘art ida.’ And the belief that process, in a sense, is liberating and that you don’t have to reinvent the wheel every day. Today, you know what you’ll do, you could be doing what you were doing yesterday, and tomorrow you are gonna do what you didid today, and at least for a certain period of time you can just work. If you hang in there, you will get somewhere.
[…]
I never had painter’s block in my whole life.
Indeed, like many famous creators, Close enacts this belief in his own daily routine:
On a typical country day I am painting by nine, and I usually work until noon. Three hours in the morning. I will have lunch either at my desk, or if it’s nice I will go to the pool. Of if it’s really nice I will go to the beach for an hour. Have lunch on the beach perhaps, and then I come back and I paint from one to four, another three hours, and about then the light is failing, and I am beginning to fuck up. So then my nurse usually comes at four, and I stop working, clean up, have a big drink, and that’s a typical day. I work every day out there, every single day.
Close closes by offering emerging artists some words of advice on creative autonomy:
I think while appropriation has produced some interesting work … for me, the most interesting thing is to back yourself into your own corner where no one else’s answers will fit. You will somehow have to come up with your own personal solutions to this problem that you have set for yourself because no one else’s answers are applicable.
[…]
See, I think our whole society is much too problem-solving oriented. It is far more interesting to [participate in] ‘problem creation’ … You know, ask yourself an interesting enough question and your attempt to find a tailor-made solution to that question will push you to a place where, pretty soon, you’ll find yourself all by your lonesome — which I think is a more interesting place to be.
Then again, there’s always the question of whether it’s at all possible — or desirable — to fully purge ourselves of influences, given everything we create is an amalgamation of our lived experience, our “personal micro-culture,” without which we’d be unable to come up with “new,” combinatorial ideas.
Images courtesy Princeton Architectural Press / Joe Fig
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HBR Best Top Ten articles 2012
4. STRATEGY
Becoming more strategic: Three tips for any executive
You don’t need a formal strategy role to help shape your organization’s strategic direction. Start by moving beyond frameworks and communicating in a more engaging way.5. STRATEGY
A CEO’s guide to innovation in China
Dynamic domestic players and focused multinationals are helping China churn out a growing number of innovative products and services. Intensifying competition lies ahead; here’s a road map for navigating it.6. STRATEGY
How strategists lead
A Harvard Business School professor reflects on what she has learned from senior executives about the unique value that strategic leaders can bring to their companies.7. ORGANIZATION
Motivating people: Getting beyond money
The economic slump offers business leaders a chance to more effectively reward talented employees by emphasizing nonfinancial motivators rather than bonuses.8. STRATEGY
The social side of strategy
Crowdsourcing your strategy may sound crazy. But a few pioneering companies are starting to do just that, boosting organizational alignment in the process. Should you join them?9. STRATEGY
Managing the strategy journey
Regular strategic dialogue involving a broad group of senior executives can help companies adapt to the unexpected. Here’s one company’s story, and some principles for everyone.10. OPERATIONS
The human factor in service design
Focus on the human side of customer service to make it psychologically savvy, economically sound, and easier to scale.
Previsões de especialistas e líderes mundiais sobre a economia em 2013
O que prevêem os lÃderes globais
27 Dezembro 2012, 11:51 por Jornal de Negócios | jng@negocios.ptJoseph Stiglitz, Nouriel Roubini, Bill Gates, George Soros, Nassim Taleb são apenas alguns dos âgurusâ que partilham as suas visões sobre o mundo em 2013. Leia as opiniões dos especialistas.
Um ano à beira do desastre - Joseph Stiglitz
O ano das apostas prudentes - Nouriel Roubini
A crise das economias emergentes da Zona Euro – Kaushik Basu
A cronologia dos optimistas – Bill Gates
Crise e transformação – Abdullah Gül
A história do futuro da Rússia – Nina L. Khruscheva
O longo caminho da Ásia – Haruhiko Kuroda e Changyong Rhee
O crescimento do mundo emergente – Jim O’Neill
Os limites morais dos mercados – Michael J. Sandel
A revolução económica do Brasil – Guido Mantega
Como vencer no Médio Oriente – Turki bin Faisal al-Saud
A fuga airosa da banca – Anat Admati
O capitalismo de Estado está a vencer? – Daron Acemoglu e James A. Robinson
O pacífico reequilíbrio da América – Leon E. Panetta
O diamante de segurança democrática na Ásia – Shinzo Abe
Um ano de avaliação para a França e para a Europa – Pierre Moscovici
A crise de valores da Europa – George Soros
Há mais em jogo em 2013 – Nassim Taleb
O grande debate sobre a banca – John Vickers
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GUEST MENTOR James Beshara, co-founder and CEO of Crowdtilt.com: Here are the top five trends I see in tech startups for 2013:
1. Our phones are becoming our remote controls for life. If we have a need for it in our daily lives, there should and will be an icon and app for it on our phone. It’s as simple as that. Our phones are our emergency kit for first-world problems.
Whether it’s a taxi or a ride in the rain (Uber, Lyft), a mechanic (YourMechanic), a doctor’s appointment (ZocDoc), the literal remote control (AppleTV), a personal assistant (Exec), a cake-baker (Zaarly), groceries (Instacart), or you’re getting a little chilly and want the temperature in the house turned up (Nest), our phones are the concierge. I expect this phenomenon to continue in 2013 and as we run into times in our daily lives when we don’t have an icon for it just yet. Someone will be working hard to create it.
I understand that many of these services are not rolled out across the entire country (much less the world), but trust me when I say that the convenience these services offer blows my mind every time I use them.
2. Crowdfunding behavior will spill beyond their silos. We as Internet consumers are becoming increasingly comfortable with a new, or some would say, a very old, style of commerce. It’s one where a patron, client or customer purchases something that doesn’t exist yet — a la Groupon (via bulk-buying and daily deals), Kickstarter (via crowdfunding a documentary or a hardware product into existence), or our own site, Crowdtilt, making ambitious group experiences possible. These new types of consumer models require money, a group of people, and a threshold of demand that must be met before the exchange is made. This communication through commerce makes a lot of sense for all parties: A seller is guaranteed demand before production and a buyer gets to take advantage of the de-risked production, getting a higher ticket item for a lower price than she or he would receive otherwise.
In 2012 we also saw massively successful crowdfunded projects like App.net and Lockitron.com raise millions on their own, with commerce models borrowed from crowdfunding sites. In 2013, I think this commerce model will continue to spill beyond the silos that pioneered the models in the first place.
(Crowdtilt just launched the world’s first international crowdfunding API this month, so you can say this prediction is either completely self-promotional or that we believe in this trend so strongly we put our money where our mouth is by fostering it.)
3. Sensors, your time is now. In our pockets, we’ve got a device that can control, read and display information from the world around us — and it can do it all continuously and wirelessly.
Furthermore, we have hardware tinkerers coming out of the woodwork to blow us away with their inventions and innovative uses for inexpensive, readily available sensors. From things like Xbox Kinnect and Belkin’s Wemo Motion, to Fitbit and Jawbone’s Up, to replacements for standard cardboard board games (Sifteo), or startups like Wattvision (wattvision.com), sensors are being used in incredibly inexpensive and impressive ways.
And this doesn’t even include the contactless payment systems using NFC/RFID (“near field communication” and “radio-frequency identification”) readers and devices that we’ve been hearing about for a few years now. (RFID readers and devices are projected to triple in sales by 2014 and reach a world-wide market size of $20bn USD.
If smart devices like our phones, our tablets and the sophisticated console navigation systems in our vehicles are the brains, it’s time to give them limbs.
4. ‘Hollow Giants’ looking for business models (or suitors). Tumblr, Foursquare, Quora and Twitter are perceived as massive companies within the startup ecosystem. But in terms of revenue-generating businesses, they barely register on the radar. And since the Facebook IPO, social hasn’t really had the shine it once did within the public or private markets.
Do I think social is dead? No. On the contrary, I think the Web is still ripe for a more social experience, but I think that while these companies have proven they can get an audience, the time has come to see whether they can build a business off that audience or whether that audience is worth an acquisition by the likes of Google or Yahoo.
Whatever these massively funded and massively valued startups do in 2013, their behavior will likely be dictated by the need to prop up their massive valuations. This kind of pressure or challenge is nothing new for the founders and executives that got their companies to this point, but it will be interesting to see which direction each startup takes in the next 12 months.
5. It’s been easy to start a business in 2012, but to stick around past 2013 will be tough. I’m told it’s been a good day to be an entrepreneur. I’d say it’s been a great day to be a consumer. We’ve got apps, services and competition for our dollars and eyeballs, and smart people working to solve a lot of our problems.
An entrepreneur has had good terms on financing the past two years, but has it really been that good to be her in this environment? Financing doesn’t make a company. Making a company makes a company, and that’s never been tougher. For every reason it’s been great to be a consumer, all the apps and all the services, it has meant that the competition to build a great company has never been tougher. There’s competition for eyeballs and customers, of course, but there’s also increased competition for further financing or competition in finding the key hires that can take your company from 5 to 50 and from 50 to 500. The number of startups have out-paced the amount of funding there is (commonly referred to as a series-A crunch), but perhaps more importantly, the amount of startups launched in the past two years has outpaced the amount of great people out there to hire.
In 2013, we’re going to see a lot of consolidation of entrepreneurs coming together to build companies. You know, like they said in Lost: “Live together, die alone.”
Some honorable mentions include: The continued rise in collaborative consumption and our growing ‘Global Village’ (built on identity and reputation, like Lyft’s donation model or the growing comfort with renting out your apartment or car via Airbnb or GetAround), the rise of data analytics and data science (we solved storing it, now, um, what can we do with it?), and the impending awesomeness of QR codes (totally kidding – or am I?… I am).
Follow James Beshara on Twitter @jjbeshara.
We’re really excited about a new feature that we’ve released on CoFoundersLab: the Entrepreneur Archetype Assessment. This is the first step toward measuring deeper dimensions to help you find the perfect co-founder.
Sign in to your CoFoundersLab account to take the assessment and add your Entrepreneur Archetype to your profile. This will help us recommend the best candidates to build your founding team.
Don’t have a CoFoundersLab profile? Sign up for free!
About the Entrepreneur Archetype Assessment
The Entrepreneur Archetype Assessment is a 10-question quiz available to CoFoundersLab members that helps you to identify what drives you as an entrepreneur. Backed by 3+ years of research by our friends at BOSI Performance Institute, it takes only a minute but provides powerful insights to determine how another entrepreneur might best complement you and your team.
The four archetypes: Builder, Opportunist, Specialist, and Innovator
The Entrepreneur Archetype Assessment will help you identify a primary and secondary archetype. The four archetypes are:
BuilderEntrepreneurs with the Builder archetype are problem solvers who are great at building businesses and highly scalable systems to grow the business.
Opportunist
Entrepreneurs with the Opportunist archetype are wired to jump at any opportunity to sell, market, and promote.
Specialist
Entrepreneurs with the Specialist archetype are experts in their field and have the analytical skills to dive deep into their industry.
Innovator
Entrepreneurs with the Innovator archetype are highly creative and driven to entrepreneurship to create a great product or service.
Nearly all entrepreneurs will have a little bit of every archetype in them, but most will be driven by a primary archetype and a secondary archetype.
How to take the Entrepreneur Archetype Assessment
First, sign in to your account on CoFoundersLab.com.
Navigate to your profile by clicking on ‘My Profile’ (see below).
On the right side of your profile, click the “Take Assessment” button under “My Archetype”:
Making better matches
The Entrepreneur Archetype Assessment helps you learn more about yourself as an entrepreneur, but it’s even more useful when trying to find that perfect co-founder. You can now compare yourself with other entrepreneurs who have also taken the assessment.
To see another entrepreneur’s archetype, simply navigate to their profile. On the right side of their profile, you’ll see their archetype listed if they have taken the assessment.
Scroll over their archetype to see a few basic strengths and weaknesses.
Click the “Show Comparison” button to see your archetype overlayed on top of theirs as well as a side-by-side comparison of your archetypes.
If another entrepreneur hasn’t yet taken the assessment, you can request that they do! Just click the “Request” button in the Archetype section when viewing their profile.
We’re very excited to be releasing the first version of our comprehensive compatibility matching algorithm. Stay tuned for advanced features coming soon that provide tailored recommendations based on your archetype!
video by QuantumMechanic1a
Playlist: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SrGHXz5OIP0&feature=BFa&list=PLXEE1lW0wlZmnjL4YrRX-M6aoP3V3QWi9 Visions of the Future: Episode 1: The Intelligence Revolution (2007) http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5Z4vBehptP0 Theoretical physicist and futurist Michio Kaku shows how, in the 21st century, artificial intelligence is going to become as ubiquitous as electricity, how robots with human-level intelligence may finally become a reality, and how we'll even be able to merge our minds with machine intelligence.
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The balance of economic power is expected to shift dramatically over the coming half century, with fast-growing emerging market economies accounting for an ever-increasing share of global output, according to new OECD research. For more information visit: www.oecd.org/economy/lookingto2060.htm
Even as employers remain cautious next year about every dollar spent on employees, they'll also want workers to show greater skills and results.
For employees who want to get ahead, basic competency won't be enough.
To win a promotion or land a job next year, experts say there are four must-have job skills:
1. Clear communications
Whatever their level, communication is key for workers to advance.
"This is really the ability to clearly articulate your point of view and the ability to create a connection through communication," says Holly Paul, U.S. recruiting leader at PricewaterhouseCoopers, the accounting and consulting firm based in New York.
Looking for a job? Looking for a promotion? Marketwatch's Kelli Grant and WSJ's Simon Constable discuss the top skills you must have to have a successful career in 2013.
For job seekers in particular, clear communication can provide a snapshot of their work style to employers. "I can walk away from a five-minute conversation and feel their enthusiasm and have a good understanding of what's important to them," Ms. Paul says.
As office conversations increasingly move online, some workers are losing or never developing the ability to give a presentation, for example. Others may be unable to write coherently for longer than, say, 140 characters.
"Technology in some ways has taken away our ability to write well. People are in such a hurry that they are multitasking," and they skip basics such as spelling and proofing, says Paul McDonald, senior executive director of Robert Half International, a Menlo Park, Calif., staffing firm.
2. Personal branding
Human-resources executives scour blogs, Twitter and professional networking sites such as LinkedIn when researching candidates, and it's important that they like what they find.
"That's your brand, that's how you represent yourself," says Peter Handal, CEO of Dale Carnegie Training, a Hauppauge, N.Y., provider of workplace-training services. "If you post something that comes back to haunt you, people will see that."
Workers also should make sure their personal brand is attractive and reflects well on employers. "More and more employers are looking for employees to tweet on their behalf, to blog on their behalf, to build an audience and write compelling, snappy posts," says Meredith Haberfeld, an executive and career coach in New York.
Ms. Haberfeld has a client whose employee recently posted on her personal Facebook page about eating Chinese food and smoking "reefer."
"I saw it on Facebook. Her supervisors saw it," Ms. Haberfeld says.
3. Flexibility
The ability to quickly respond to an employer's changing needs will be important next year as organizations try to respond nimbly to customers.
"A lot of companies want us to work with their employees about how to get out of their comfort zone, how to adapt," says Mr. Handal. "Somebody's job today may not be the same as next year."
The ability to learn new skills is of top importance, says George Boué, human-resources vice president for Stiles, a real-estate services company in Fort Lauderdale, Fla. "We want to know that if we roll out a new program or new tools that the folks we have on board are going to be open to learning," he says.
4. Productivity improvement
In 2013, workers should find new ways to increase productivity, experts say. Executives are looking for a 20% improvement in employee performance next year from current levels, according to a recent survey by the Corporate Executive Board, an Arlington, Va., business research and advisory firm.
"When you are at your job, do you volunteer for projects? Are you looking for creative ways to help your organization," Mr. McDonald says. "The way to really differentiate yourself is to be proactive."
Companies that are considering adding workers in coming years want current employees to operate in growth mode now. "My clients are looking for employees that have a great ability to understand what is wanted and needed, rather than needing to be told," Ms. Haberfeld says.
Even hiring managers need to work on certain skills as organizations consider expanding next year. "The ability to spot talent and hire people has fallen out of use over the last several years," says Ben Dattner, an organizational psychologist in New York. "As the economy turns around, companies will have to work harder to retain talented employees. Companies have trimmed the fat, and now they have to build the muscle."
Write to Ruth Mantell at ruth.mantell@dowjones.com
—Ruth Mantell is a reporter for MarketWatch. Read more at marketwatch.com.
Over the last 15 years, innovation as an activity has become broader, more complex and increasingly collaborative. No longer is R&D spending the only proxy for success – innovation strategy and innovation culture have too climbed high on the agenda. Similarly, the realization that innovation is not as unpredictable of an occurrence as initially thought (i.e. product of a “spontaneous combustion”), brings new implications for top management. Finally, dwelling confusion about clear and consistent models for repeated success and constant growth have left even highly regarded innovators wondering: what exactly can be done to streamline innovation?
In an attempt to address these concerns (i.e. close the knowledge gap), Europe has set the wheels of (productive) debate into motion. Here innovation powerhouses and other important stakeholders are willingly joining forces with the public sector in sharing their joint expectations vis-a-vis systematic innovation – the Who needs a standard for Innovation Management? Workshop at the Innovation in Action Symposium 2012 being one notable instance as such.
This high-level event, led by Magnus Karlsson, Director New Business Development & Innovation at Ericsson Headquarters in Stockholm and Chairman of the SIS Technical Committee TK 532 on Innovation Management, and Stefan Tangen, expert and Project Leader at SIS (Swedish Standards Institute), not only brought a select group of multi-national companies such as IKEA, Ericsson, TetraPak, Volvo and AstraZeneca around the table, but also successfully managed to capture their varied opinions on a number is key issues. For example, the participants were asked to define and discuss systematic innovation¹ – an exercise that ultimately made the case, and nuanced the context for the creation of an innovation management standard.
In brief, the key insights arguing in favour of a systematic approach to innovation included:
1. The Concept of Innovation is Becoming Broader and More Complex
The historical view on innovation as an enclosed, product/R&D centric, internally oriented process where most of the research is done in costly laboratories financed by mature economies. In the last decades though, change has come about. From fully bounded to market and insight-driven, innovation is undergoing a major shift. It can now start in emerging markets and not only in mature ones; it has become open, and collaborative allowing more and more areas of the organization to be involved.
Paradoxically, broader involvement is not entirely good news. More participants in the innovation process mean more complex decision-making – a genuine burden when there is little guidance available.
2. Innovation Strategy and Culture Matter Enormously
In order to thrive, organizations need to have the relevant cultural component in place and this component involves securing the right attitude towards innovation. As confirmed by numerous reports, for example Booz & Co.’s Global Innovation 1000 study, it is not how much companies spend on research and development that determines success — what really matters is how those R&D funds are invested in talent, process, and tools. Hence, companies need to ensure the correct and continuous integration of innovation in the overall company strategy.
3. Innovation does not just “happen”
Once dwelling in doubt, practitioners are slowly beginning to agree: luck does not suffice when it comes to innovation. In fact, recent corporate realities paint an entirely different picture: with customer demand and competitive pressures increasing and operation excellence making entities leaner and leaner, the odds of innovation happening by chance have decreased. Evidence points towards a more proactive approach to developing new products, services and business models.
4. Confusion and its lasting reign
The final insight to consider is the puzzlement among entities – especially regarding what innovation is, what it can do and why it should be formally managed. Even companies at the forefront of new product or service development struggle to maintain a robust model that sustains innovation. In addition, organizations agree that they need to innovate more and also acknowledge the existence of a knowledge gap in terms of a systematic approach to their innovation processes.
Towards a unified Innovation Management Standard
Summing up, as systematic innovation becomes a necessity in a fast-paced, hyper-competitive world, the worth of a management standard addressing the process of innovation finds justification.
In other words, to render desired results (i.e. value creation) innovation needs to be methodical and organized– at least to a certain extent. Therefore, the worth of a management standard addressing innovation will rest in its ability to provide clear guidance on the different ways of achieving sustained success through new product, service or business model development.
Next in this dedicated article series, we will explore The Promise of Innovation Management Standardization further and talk about the key drivers for the adoption of innovation management standards as well as the active debate in Europe on the matter.
By Oana-Maria Pop
About the author:
Oana-Maria is an Associate Editor of IM.se and enjoys devoting her time and energy to working with business publishing, design-driven innovation, corporate transformation and turnaround, and new product development in small and mid-sized firms. Her background includes a MSc in Innovation Management, numerous project-based collaborations with major Danish and international innovators (firms and inventors), a research assistant position, experience with high-profile interviewing as well as strong creative and academic writing skills.
The definition of Innovation
“Innovation is the implementation of a new or significantly improved product (good or service), or process, a new marketing method, or a new organizational method in business practices, workplace organization or external relations” [Oslo Manual, OECD 2005].About the IM standardization project
CEN/TC 389 “Innovation Management” was started in November 2008. The project was initiated by Spanish entity AENOR. Most active countries include Spain, Germany, the Nordics, Portugal, Ireland, UK and France.What is Standardization?
The voluntary process of developing technical specifications based on consensus among all interested parties (industry including SMEs, consumers, trade unions, public authorities, etc). Standardization is carried out by independent standards bodies, acting at national, European and international level.Introduction to the series
As evidence suggests, innovation – both as a field of study and as a practical discipline – has gained considerable traction over the past 15 years. As organizations become broader and more complex, the need for a systematic approach to new product, service or business development techniques strengthens accordingly. And this is merely the tip of the iceberg – there are multiple insights on why communities can benefit from an organized approach to innovation – a process at the heart of our everyday (business) lives. As of today, this approach is becoming a reality and work slowly progresses towards the creation of a unified Innovation Management Standard. Why the delay? Plainly because relating innovation to standardization² is something most practitioners still find counter-intuitive. Their main belief: the terms clash and collide.In Europe, such persistent and biased views obstruct dialogue and impede the creation of a common framework greatly. But stakeholders and supranational bodies such as AENOR in Spain and SIS in Sweden are stepping up to overcome this obstacle. Backed by research, both qualitative and quantitative, as well their own need for a consistent set of guidelines, these entities argue that the adoption of innovation management standards is imminent. Moreover, given the gap of knowledge in the field, voluntary rules stand a high chance of following the adoption curves of those in manufacturing, safety, education and even quality management.
In an attempt to shed some light on the matter, lessen the struggle for corporations and disseminate the key learnings aggregated so far, IM has invited experts Magnus Karlsson, Chairman of the SIS Technical Committee TK 532 on Innovation Management, and Stefan Tangen, expert and Project Leader at SIS (Swedish Standards Institute), to join the dialogue. The result: a dedicated series of in-depth articles focusing on various aspects of the Innovation Management Standardization efforts in Europe as well as their implications for practitioners everywhere.
References
1. When asked to define what ”Systematic Innovation” is, the participants provided the following associations: Systematic Innovation = Regularity, Creating preconditions i.e. time, money, space , Funnel framework for Innovation Process, Tangible steps + Catch + manage ideas + Intuitive & simple
2. (the) activity of establishing, with regard to actual or potential problems, provisions for common and repeated use, aimed at the achievement of the optimum degree of order in a given context. (source: EC)
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The use of indicators and evidence in governance and policy development of Science, Technology and Innovation
Author Info
- Manuel Laranja
() (Universidade Técnica de Lisboa, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão)
- Nuno Boavida
() (IET/CESNOVA, Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia)
Abstract
In this paper we reflect upon how policy-makers look for, interpret and use evidence for reflection and policy development. We propose an exploratory framework that sets out two of the elements necessary to a conceptualization of what may explain the way in which evidence and indicators are used in STI policy development: the type of evaluative approach and the styles of governance.Download Info
If you experience problems downloading a file, check if you have the proper application to view it first. In case of further problems read the IDEAS help page. Note that these files are not on the IDEAS site. Please be patient as the files may be large.Bibliographic Info
Paper provided by Universidade Nova de Lisboa, IET-Research Center on Enterprise and Work Innovation, Faculty of Science and Technology in its series IET Working Papers Series with number 07/2012.Download reference. The following formats are available: HTML (with abstract), plain text (with abstract), BibTeX, RIS (EndNote, RefMan, ProCite), ReDIF
Length: 8 pages
Date of creation: Jul 2012
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Handle: RePEc:ieu:wpaper:41Contact details of provider:
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Keywords: innovation policy; evidence based policy; indicators;References
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Com a crise na Europa, o calçado vai no próximo ano investir na conquista de novos mercados. A grande aposta é a America Latina, e em especial a Colômbia. O setor vai gastar 12 milhões de euros em campanhas internacionais.
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Testemunho iNovmapping, vencedores do Concurso de ideias de negócio Arrisca Coimbra 2009 http://www.inovmapping.com/ http://www.uc.pt/gats/projectos/Arrisca_C_2012
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